Morning Market Picks January 26, 2010

by Erich Senft on January 26, 2010

==================================================
Position Trades
==================================================
==================================================
1: CURRENCIES
==================================================
———-
March Canadian Dollar CDH0
———-

You could bring your trailing stop in a touch tighter (above Friday’s high), but I’ll let mine run “as is” for Tuesday.

CONTINUATION of Short March Canadian Dollar at 9687 (January 20)
Exit Stop: 9587 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $0 per contract

1st Profit Target: 9587 (January 20)
Approximate Profit: $1000 per contract

———-
March Japanese Yen JYH0
———-

We just can’t catch a break in the Yen trade as far as rolling our stops is concerned! I was hoping for a stronger day to start this week but it didn’t happen. As such, the exit stops have to stay where they are – at breakeven.

Expect a pullback this week. Let’s just hope it doesn’t move against us too strongly.

CONTINUATION of Long March Japanese Yen at 108.63 (January 11)
Exit Stop: 109.59 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $0 per contract

1st Profit Target: 109.83 (January 12)
Approximate Profit: $1500 per contract

———-
March Swiss Franc SFH0
———-

I’ll run the Swiss Franc trade again for Tuesday; however the small days are hinting for a move lower not higher.

If March Swiss Franc opens at or below 9670
BUY 2 March Swiss Franc at 9671 (stop)(day)

If filled: Exit Stop: 9511 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $2000 per contract
Profit Target: 9797 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $1575 per contract
Degree of Risk: HIGH

———-
March US Dollar Index DXH0
———

Things aren’t looking that much better for our USD trade, but we’re not stopped out yet!

CONTINUATION of Long 2 March US Dollar Index at 7773 (January 19)
Exit Stop: 7773 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $0 per contract

1st Profit Target: 7853 (January 20)
Approximate Profit: $800 per contract

==================================================
3: GRAINS
==================================================
———-
March Oats OH0
———-
FLAT

==================================================
4: MEATS
==================================================
———-
April Live Cattle LCJ0
———-
Watch List – Still looking for Cattle to give me support before the next rally.

———-
April Lean Hogs LHJ0
———-

We caught a nice move lower in Hogs to start this week. If the market continues like this for another day we will be able to adjust our stops a bit.

CONTINUATION of Short 2 April Lean Hogs at 7135 (January 25)
Exit Stop: 7310 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $700 per contract
Profit Target: 6920 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $860 per contract
Degree of Risk: Moderate to HIGH

===============================================
6: SOFTS
==================================================
———-
March Cotton CTH0
———-

Ditto for Cotton which fell off sharply filling our short position. In hindsight we could have been a little tighter with the entry, but it was “safer” to make the market break old support before entering.

CONTINUATION Short 2 March Cotton at 7035 (January 25)
Exit Stop: 7205 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $850 per contract
Profit Target: 6905 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $650 per contract
Degree of Risk: Moderate to HIGH

==================================================
Day Trading Support and Resistance Lines
==================================================
———
March mini-DOW YMH0
———-

Support and Resistance Lines:

10055
10115
10250
10315
10380
10470
10590

———-
March mini-S&P ESH0
———-

Support and Resistance Lines:

1082.00
1087.00
1103.00
1108.50
1115.50
1126.00
1138.50

Leave a Comment

Previous post:

Next post: