Support and Resistance Trading Forum

Re: Eureka!
By:Erich (vendor, CTA)
Date: 1/23/2009, 12:48 am
In Response To: Re: Eureka! (Kelley)

The particulars of the stop trailing technique are in the Members' section of the website, but in a nutshell the premise is that you only move you stop when the market is moving in your direction. So if you're long, and prices advance, then it's okay to bring up your stop, but if prices stall, then you leave your stop alone until prices begin rallying again (the opposite for selling a market). Simple, but it works very well.

Another method (which I don't use, but have heard good results with) is to place your stop above/below the high/low of the last "x" period. Traders who use this method seem to favour 4 days, but 5 days would make more sense to me as there are 5 trading days in a week. Therefore, using this method, if you were long you would have your stop below the lowest low of the last 4 (5) days. What I don't like about this method is that it can leave a lot of risk on the table in quickly advancing markets; however it does let you ride a market for a very long time.

Another good method (which I don't use because of the large risk amounts) is parabolics. They were developed by Welles Wilder, the same fellow responsible for RSI as well as ADX/DMI. Parabolics attempts to account for market volatility in stop placement, giving you very large stops at the beginning of a trend and tightening as the trend runs out of steam. It works good on paper, but I don't know if I could stomach putting a $5k risk position on in corn because that's where the Parabolic is.

A stop is your parachute. No stop, regardless of the method, will keep you in a choppy market, and I would argue that it shouldn't attempt to. Tom was famous (or notorious) for taking several small losses before hitting a bigger move. The logic? The market wasn't behaving, and since capital preservation is paramount, a small loss was more desirable than a big one.

Regardless of the stop trailing technique you use it is important to remember that the sole purpose of a stop is to get you out of a market that is not behaving as it should. NEVER trade without a stop. There aren't many absolutes in this business, but that is certainly one of them.

Erich

Responses To This Message

Re: Eureka!
Kelley -- 1/27/2009, 5:41 pm
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