Thursday, August 03, 2006

Tom's Trades

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"Tom's Trades" for Tuesday July 25, 2006
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1: SEPT 30 YEAR T BOND
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We began with a buy at 107-21. We went on a nice smooth run to 107-31 and pulled up in almost predictable per the book fashion. I exited at -29 for $250. I then sold -27 and exited at -22 for $156. I tried to buy -21/-22 but didn't succeed. Done for the day.

The settle at 107-23 has watching 107-16 and 108-00 for tomorrow.
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2: DECEMBER 06 EURODOLLAR
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I bought 94.455 and hung on to it into tomorrow. The stop is at 94.445. We closed at .470. If we don't see some strength early tomorrow I will move the stop to break even in sort of a mini - squeeze.

If you didn't choose to play today you can pick up the TT numbers for an attempt tomorrow.
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3: SEPTEMBER CANADIAN DOLLAR
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A very frustrating day here. The trading window opened with the CD edging up and stalling at 8794. Oh boy, I thought, get yer game face on; here comes the sell at 8780. It went from 86 to 63 in less than a minute. Great action off a strong S&R number and zippity do dah to show for it. We climbed back from 8742 to 8780. I passed on the chance to sell it or buy it as the number came at the end of a long run and late in the RTH session.

TT numbers again tomorrow.
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4: SEPTEMBER SWISS FRANC
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We hung out all day just above the 8060/50 channel we pointed out in TT. Nothing for us here today.

I'll stay on the TT numbers again tomorrow. Add 8050 to the mix both ways. 8075 is first focus.
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5: SEPTEMBER MINI RUSSELL 2000
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This was one of the very few days when I was watching with a complete directional bias ... up. 675 was just too, too to not. I had to wait a bit all the while it was climbing. The window opened and I immediately bought 680.40 and exited at 684.80 on an OB play when it failed at 685.50. We picked up $440. I then bought 683.50 and exited at 684.70 on an ob for $120. I sold 684.50 and exited at 683.60 for $90. I missed the ensuing 683 break out higher. I caught back up with it at 685.50 with a buy and exited at 690.90 for $440 again. I took a little break until about 12:10 CDT and came back to buy 688.50 and exit at 689.80 for $130. Next I bought 688.60 and caught another nice move exiting at 695.60 right at the end of the day for $700.

We'll be there tomorrow with all the numbers.
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5: SEPTEMBER MINI $5 DOW
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The wheels were already in motion when the RTH session in the big DOW opened. I bought 10955, put in a stop at 10927 and just let it go. I put in an alarm at 11050. When it went off I came back for a look see. By then we were climbing thru 11060. I jumped ship at 11060 after the big failure at 11075 for $525. I bought 11055 and exited at 11095 for another $200.

All the numbers from TT weekend edition.
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7: AUGUST GOLD
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They dealt us the dreaded gap lower leaving us nothing to do. I finally bought 611.50 and exited at 611 losing $50. We got down a slow as 602.50 but I couldn't get a fill under 602 so I passed. By the time we got a useable confirmation it was too late in the day and the bounce was too rapid to get in below 612 so I passed again. There was a lot of range today and I was, frankly, a bit miffed at our result.

$10 channels for tomorrow.
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8: DECEMBER COTTON
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Nothing for us as the play of the day was a buy off the break lower form 53.50 or the buy on the failure to press lower at 53.00. There was no way to get a fill off the 53.50 break and the buy was not allowed under my rules. Goose eggs today.

TT numbers for tomorrow.
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9: SEPTEMBER COCOA
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We watched. I'll buy a break above 1542 tomorrow and that's it.
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10: SEPTEMBER CORN
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Nothing here until it was too late in the day.
TT numbers again tomorrow.
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11: SEPTEMBER WHEAT
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I sold 4.04 ½ to start my day in Grains. I exited at 4.02 for $125. I then bought 4.00 ½ and exited at 4.04 ½ for $200. I then sold 4.04 ½ and exited at 4.01 for $175.

It's TT again tomorrow.