Traders Helping Traders Big Weekend Edition

Traders Helping Traders E-zine for June 6th, 2009

Shooting the Breeze!


Thank you for all your kind words regarding the Wednesday morning trading webinars. If you've been unable to join us the Wednesday morning webinar is when Rob and I discuss general trading concepts and call trades as we try to show you how to trade for a living in only 1 hour per day!

I took the plunge this week and bought the webinar software for the next month. I have to admit that I enjoy doing them, it's just unfortunate that the market hasn't been very cooperative the last couple of weeks. This last Wednesday Bernacke was speaking so that's always a bad time to trade. Even so we did manage to sim a $150 profit for our hour, showing that support and resistance works whether it's a report day or not!

But you can't be too safe when it comes to trading so I don't regret standing aside for the morning. Besides, I think Rob would've had a heart attack if I did trade real money on a report day! The report calendar should be clear for the next few weeks so hopefully things will be better this Wednesday and we'll be able to take a couple of dollars home for our effort.

I know Wednesday doesn't work for all of you so I'm trying to carve out another day or two each week to do the morning hour webinars, but for this week it will be Wednesday only. I'll let you know if I'm able to free up more time for the following weeks.

Enjoy this week's issue,

Erich
erich@tradershelpingtraders.net
 

Currencies


Currencies Market Overview


Nothing here for Monday but huge potential for later in the week as all the currencies are in pullback mode. Across the board, Aussie Dollar, British Pound, Canadian Dollar, EuroFX and the Swiss Franc are all scrambling for support (the USD is looking for resistance) and I think they'll find it early in the week as RSI is getting oversold. Once we have support we can look at buying the next push higher (USD lower) but I'll wait for a momentum shift to confirm.

FLAT Currency Complex

The charts in this publication are all made using Gecko's Track 'n Trade charting software. You can try it for free here.
 

Financials


Financials/Indices Market Overview


"WOW!" is the word that comes to mind as the Eurodollar plummeted $1k in a single session on Friday. We had no trouble grabbing $500 that move as the bottom fell out of the market. I haven't had a chance to find out the particulars behind the decline, but it doesn't really matter as the news is made to "fit" the charts anyway.

The ED's quickly moving into a sellers market but we need to see some support and a lot of smaller bars before we can get serious about trading this one again.

The Stock Indices continue to defy me and rally higher. The moves are getting smaller however as more traders realize that we're running on vapours up here. The index markets need a pullback to "normalize" and prove that the current low is not a fluke. But your guess is as good as mine as to when that'll be.

FLAT Financials and Stock Indices

 

Grains


Grains Market Overview

We snagged a couple of small profit trades in the Grains last week, $200 in Canola and $60 in Corn, but that was about it. Right now all the grains seem to be in retracement mode which makes it tough to buy them (with trend) on Monday. I'll be on the lookout for support to come into the markets early in the week and when it does we can look to buy them again. Ideally we'll see MACD pick up to the upside as well before we commit to the bulls.

FLAT Grain Complex
 

Meats


Meats Market Overview


Good news, bad news in the Meat markets. The good news: we saw the divergence in Feeder Cattle building last week and prices fell like a rock as a result. The bad news? We missed the move and now the move is too big for us to try and jump on midstream. We have to wait for support to come in, a small rally (ideally) and then resistance we can sell. Until then I'm just going to be watching.

Live Cattle and Lean Hogs are not quite as bad as Feeders. They've made moves to the downside as well, but they're not as extreme as Feeders; therefore we might be able to pick up a sell signal here later in the week after the markets show us resistance.

FLAT Meat Complex
 

Metals


Metals Market Overview

The video clip covering this week's Metals analysis

You know it's a tough week when Copper is one of your better options....

Copper

If July Copper opens at or below 233.40:
BUY July Copper at 235.20 (stop)(day)
If filled: Exit Stop: 223.80 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $2850 per contract
Profit Target: 241.90 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $1675 per contract
Degree of Risk: HIGH.

Copper chart
 

Softs


Softs Market Overview

The video clip covering this week's Softs analysis

I'm a glutton for punishment. Cotton whipsawed me last week and here I am again. Why? Because Cotton "should've" rallied but didn't that's why. Why is that significant? Because the market has told us which way it does NOT want to go; therefore we have a better idea of where it is going but I have to warn you, it's the not strongest looking setup.

Sugar's not far behind in that department as we have just enough to put a trade on, but it's not a really strong signal either.

Cotton

If July Cotton opens at or above 5485
SELL July Cotton at 5460 (stop)(day)
If filled: Exit Stop: 5700 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $1200 per contract
Profit Target: 5280 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $900 per contract
Degree of Risk: HIGH

Cotton chart

Orange Juice

Watch List – Look for OJ to test trendline support before heading lower. At least that's the plan right now.

Orange Juice

Sugar

If July Sugar opens at or below 1575
BUY July Sugar at 1597 (stop)(day)
If filled: Exit Stop: 1521 (stop)(GTC)
Approximate Risk: $851 per contract
Profit Target: 1643 (limit)(GTC)
Approximate Profit: $515 per contract
Degree of Risk: Moderate to HIGH

Sugar chart

The charts in this publication are all made using Gecko's Track 'n Trade charting software. You can get a demo for free here.
 

Pick of the Letter


Pick #3 – BUY July Copper

The high risk amount is what gave this trade 3rd place. The good news is there is strong resistance above the market so we should only get filled on a strong push higher.

Pick #2 – SELL July Cotton

Another expensive market, but the best thing here is we were "wrong" last week so we should have a better idea where "right" is.

Pick #1 – BUY July Sugar

Momentum is off but we're able to put the buy order well above last week's resistance which should only get filled on a true breakout..
 

Lesson du Jour


This week's Support and Resistance Lesson is available at the following link: 

http://www.supportandresistance.com/THT/members/movies/2009/LessonJune8.wmv

Euro Fx Homework Chart

Japanese Yen Homework Chart
 

Futures Trading is Risky! Never trade with money you cannot afford to lose!


Nothing in this publication is either a solicitation to trade or a recommendation of any strategy. Always consult your broker or advisor before attempting any trade. Commodity trading involves substantial risk of loss.

THE DATA CONTAINED HERE IN ARE BELIEVED TO BE RELIABLE BUT CANNOT BE GUARANTEED AS TO RELIABILITY, ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS; AND AS SUCH ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE WITHOUT NOTICE. TRADERS HELPING TRADERS AND IT'S ASSOCIATES WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR ANYTHING WHICH MAY RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HEREIN.

DISCLOSURE OF RISK: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES AND OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDS SHOULD BE USED. FUTURES AND OPTIONS MAY NOT BE SUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER THEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.

NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM.

HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW.

ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, IN GENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.
 


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